much press has been placed on obama's chances of winning the select states in the south.
at first it seems logical - he has increased voter turnout by record numbers, especially with young black voters. in past elections, this demographic had low participation, but with the first, potential, black president on the ballot, this is expected to change in a major way.
what most people haven't yet factored in is white voter turnout will also increase because they don't want obama in office. thus making it a bit of a waste to spend an excessive amount of states that historically lean republican.
to read the numbers and influence, go here.
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